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Five transition pathways to renewable energy futures-scenarios from a Delphi study on key drivers and policy options

Editorial: Springer Nature
Licencia: Creative Commons (by)
Autor(es): Rikkonen, Pasi; [et al.]

In this article, five energy scenarios are presented for Finland until 2030. The scenarios are based on a two-round Delphi application, in which energy experts were first interviewed and then a survey phase was conducted. We used cluster analysis to construct the scenarios and arranged the responses to open-ended questions as narratives to deepen the scenarios. Based on the cluster analysis, five clusters were constructed, namely, (1) business as usual, (2) energy saving and decarbonisation, (3) climate-friendly transformation, (4) green growth, and (5) degrowth.
[2021]

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